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AI-generated false information: what it is, and what’s happened in Australia

AI systems that inadvertently generate or spread incorrect or deceptive information, which can lead to inaccurate beliefs in users and undermine their autonomy. Humans that make decisions based on false beliefs can experience physical, emotional or material harms.

Definition and category 3.1 from the MIT AI Risk Repository, used under CC BY 4.0.

How experts rate it

12.8%

With mitigations — 6.8%The difference between the two estimates — 6.0 points

Mean probability of a catastrophic outcome by 2030 — more than 1 million deaths, or more than USD 100 billion in financial loss, or comparable civilisation-scale intangible damage. Across 272 experts who took part. How this was measured

This figure is tabulated in the study itself.

95% interval 8.9–18.1%. Risks with overlapping intervals are not reliably ranked against each other.

Ranks 10 of 23 rated risks. Experts put the difference at 6.0 percentage points.

Rank 10 of 23 by expert-rated severity, at 12.8%. See all 23 ranked

Evidence

  • Evidence

    AI threatens democratic governance by undermining representation (through fake constituent communications), accountability (through fabricated scandals), and trust (through erosion of shared reality).

    Journal of Democracy

  • Evidence

    74% of Australians are concerned about misinformation.

    Digital News Report: Australia 2025

What's been called for

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What politicians have said

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What Australians say

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    Think Australia should act?

    Your MP and senators decide what Australia does about AI. A few lines in your own words about AI-generated false information is enough to tell them it matters to you.

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