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Australians for AI Safety

Power centralisation: what it is, and what’s happened in Australia

AI-driven concentration of power and resources within certain entities or groups, especially those with access to or ownership of powerful AI systems, leading to inequitable distribution of benefits and increased societal inequality.

Definition and category 6.1 from the MIT AI Risk Repository, used under CC BY 4.0.

How experts rate it

18.0%

With mitigations — 11.4%The difference between the two estimates — 6.6 points

Mean probability of a catastrophic outcome by 2030 — more than 1 million deaths, or more than USD 100 billion in financial loss, or comparable civilisation-scale intangible damage. Across 272 experts who took part. How this was measured

This figure is tabulated in the study itself.

95% interval 12.1–24.8%. Risks with overlapping intervals are not reliably ranked against each other.

Ranks 3 of 23 rated risks. Experts put the difference at 6.6 percentage points.

Rank 3 of 23 by expert-rated severity, at 18.0%. See all 23 ranked

Evidence

What's been called for

  • Not in place

    Work with other middle powers on AI

    Called for by 3 organisations

    Australia should work with other middle powers to reduce AI risks and limit the concentration of power in a small number of countries and companies.

What politicians have said

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What Australians say

    Nothing here yet. If this matters to you, say why in a sentence.

    What people ask

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    Think Australia should act?

    Your MP and senators decide what Australia does about AI. A few lines in your own words about power centralisation is enough to tell them it matters to you.

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